Started Dec 08, 2015 06:32PM UTC   •   Closed Mar 31, 2016 09:00PM UTC

Before April 2016, will the French Army or Foreign Legion deploy combat troops to fight the Islamic State on the ground in Syria or Iraq?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2.00%
No 98.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 749
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 1838
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.066
3.
-0.066
5.
-0.059

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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