Before 1 August 2016, will any NATO members invoke Article 4 or Article 5 in response to actions taken by ISIS?
Started
Nov 17, 2015 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 31, 2016 09:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 31, 2016 09:00PM UTC
This question was closed with the answer "No" on 3 August 2016 with an end date of 31 July 2016. Scores are based on forecasts made through 11:59pm Pacific in 30 July 2016.
Article 4 was invoked by Turkey in 2015 in response to developments in Syria and by Poland in 2014 in response to developments in Ukraine (The Economist, NATO). Article 5 was invoked after the September 11 attacks in 2001 (NY Times). For more information on Article 4 and Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, see NATO 1 and NATO 2.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, only Article 4 | 0% | |
Yes, only Article 5 | 0% | |
Yes, both Article 4 and Article 5 | 0% | |
No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 406 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1481 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |