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In the News 2026
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
(1 year)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!
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Question
Will Roscosmos (Russian Space Agency) successfully launch a mission to the International Space Station before 1 August 2026?
Closing
Aug 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
1
·
1
Will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of flying a military aircraft over the territory of and/or the territorial waters surrounding the main island of Taiwan without its permission before 1 December 2026?
Closing
Dec 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
4
·
4
Will a Western Hemisphere nation publicly announce that it has or will either leave or not renew its affiliation with China's Belt and Road Initiative before 5 December 2026?
Closing
Dec 05, 2026 08:01AM UTC
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3
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3
Before 31 October 2026, will the International Criminal Court (ICC) issue a summons or arrest warrant for any US official for reasons related to US military strikes on suspected narcotraffickers in international waters in the Western Hemisphere?
Closing
Oct 31, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
4
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5
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between the week beginning 3 January 2026 and the week beginning 26 December 2026, how many total fatalities will occur in the Africa Region due to conflicts and protests, according to ACLED?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
·
0
·
0
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between the week beginning 3 January 2026 and the week beginning 26 December 2026, how many total fatalities will occur in the Asia-Pacific Region due to conflicts and protests, according to ACLED?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
·
0
·
0
The Economist
and
stelamy
ask:
When will the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) next attempt to execute a military strike within the territory, airspace, or territorial waters of Iran?
Closing
Sep 07, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
9
·
9
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 28 November 2026, will the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel (Forces) of India or Pakistan execute a military strike within the territory of the other, excluding Kashmiri territory?
Closing
Nov 28, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
22
·
29
Will India extradite former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina to Bangladesh before 20 June 2026?
Closing
Jun 20, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
24
·
29
The Economist
asks:
In the current conflict in Sudan, when will the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) sign or announce a ceasefire with an intended indefinite duration or an intended duration of at least 28 days?
Closing
Oct 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
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83
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