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In the News 2026
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
(11 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!
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Question
What will be the spread between the US 10-year Treasury yield and the 2-year Treasury yield on 29 May 2026?
Closing
May 29, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
16
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89
The Economist
asks:
In Wolford v. Lopez, will the Supreme Court rule that the Ninth Circuit erred in holding that Hawaii may presumptively prohibit licensed firearm permit holders from carrying firearms onto private property open to the public unless the property owner has given express permission?
Closing
Jul 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
32
·
53
Foxes ask:
When will a US federal court issue declaratory and/or injunctive relief preventing the Trump administration from imposing its $100,000 payment for "H-1B" visas?
Closing
May 23, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
14
·
34
What will be the US federal budget deficit in FY2026 (1 October 2025 to 30 September 2026)?
Closing
Oct 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
16
·
35
The Economist
asks:
In Little v. Hecox, will the Supreme Court rule that the district court abused its discretion or otherwise erred in issuing a preliminary injunction against enforcement of Idaho's Fairness in Women's Sports Act as applied to Hecox?
Closing
Jul 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
27
·
58
How many of the largest commercial banks in the US will fail between 10 October 2025 and 5 October 2026?
Closing
Oct 06, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
19
·
53
Before 18 June 2026, will an FOMC statement of a decision on a monetary policy action released from the Federal Reserve indicate that Lisa Cook did not vote on that action?
Closing
Jun 17, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
15
·
34
Before 1 July 2026, will a major US retailer announce that it will begin rounding all domestic cash transactions to values denominated by more than one cent (e.g., round to the nearest nickel)?
Closing
Jul 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
13
·
40
The Economist
asks:
In Landor v. Louisiana Department of Corrections and Public Safety, will the Supreme Court rule that Damon Landor may sue a government official in his individual capacity for damages for violations of the Religious Land Use and Institutionalized Persons Act (RLUIPA)?
Closing
Jul 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
·
45
·
99
The Economist
asks:
In Hamm v. Smith, will the Supreme Court rule that lower courts erred in vacating Defendant Joseph Clifton Smith's death sentence because the district court found him to be intellectually disabled?
Closing
Jul 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
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31
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56
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