What will the end-of-day closing value for the dollar against the renminbi be on 1 January 2016?

Started Sep 01, 2015 04:37PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2016 05:00PM UTC

Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg, at http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/usdcny:cur. For historical trends, see http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/usdcny:cur/chart. For more information on China's economy see http://www.theworldin.com/article/10492.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 6.30 0%
Between 6.30 and 6.35, inclusive 0%
More than 6.35 but less than 6.40 11%
6.40 or more 89%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 385
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1549
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.295796
2.
-0.292633
3.
-0.272179
4.
-0.266066
5.
-0.241771

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username