What will the Bureau of Labor Statistics report the U.S. civilian unemployment rate (U3) to be for the month of December 2018?
Started
Nov 02, 2018 03:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Outcome will be determined by the official civilian unemployment rate (U3) reported for the month of December 2018 by the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics. This question will be suspended on 31 December 2018 and resolved when the data are first released, typically in January.
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The question closed D: Between 3.7% and 3.9%, inclusive, with a December 2018 U3 unemployment rate of 3.9%. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
The question closed D: Between 3.7% and 3.9%, inclusive, with a December 2018 U3 unemployment rate of 3.9%. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 3.4% | 0% | |
| Between 3.4% and 3.5%, inclusive | 7% | |
| More than 3.5% but less than 3.7% | 40% | |
| Between 3.7% and 3.9%, inclusive | 53% | |
| 4.0% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 590 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 871 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
