In Timbs v. Indiana, will the Supreme Court rule that the Excessive Fines Clause of the Eighth Amendment applies to states?

Started Nov 09, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 20, 2019 06:00PM UTC

In 2015, Tyson Timbs pleaded guilty to felony charges in an Indiana court, after which the State sought to make Timbs forfeit his vehicle (The Indianapolis Star, Oyez, SCOTUSBlog). A trial court ruled such a forfeiture violated the Eighth Amendment’s prohibition against imposing excessive fines. The Indiana Supreme Court then reversed the ruling, stating that the U.S. Supreme Court had never “incorporated” the Excessive Fines Clause of the Eighth Amendment, and Timbs appealed (Cornell Law). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.

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The question closed Yes on 20 February 2019.  The Court's ruling may be found here: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/18pdf/17-1091_5536.pdf.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 87.50%
No 12.50%

Crowd Forecast Profile

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Number of Forecasters 78
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 121
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

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-0.127
2.
-0.118
3.
-0.11
5.
-0.105

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