Started Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

The Mack Institute and The Economist ask

What will be Uber's end-of-day market capitalization on the day of its initial public offering?

While Uber's potential IPO might be one of the largest ever, the company's present and future performance are sources of uncertainty for investors, market watchers and other interested observers (Fortune, Financial Times, Bloomberg).Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day Market Capitalization figure reported by Bloomberg.



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Name Probability
Less than $40 billion 1%
Between $40 billion and $70 billion, inclusive 10%
More than $70 billion but less than $100 billion 38%
Between $100 billion and $130 billion, inclusive 32%
More than $130 billion 6%
Uber will not have an IPO before 1 October 2019 13%

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