Started Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Mar 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC

The Economist and   Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will the UK hold a referendum vote on its relationship with the EU or a snap general election before 29 March 2019?

Brexit developments have intensified as the official leave date nears (The Economist, The Financial Times, The Guardian).

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This question closed as "No" with an end date of 30 March 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
No 91%
Yes, only a snap general election 6%
Yes, only a referendum on its relationship with the EU 3%
Yes, both 0%

No. of
Forecasters

1410

Forecast
Count

2118


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.411
2.
-0.411
3.
-0.411
4.
-0.411
5.
-0.411