Started Dec 07, 2018 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jun 29, 2019 06:59AM UTC

In Tennessee Wine & Spirits Retailers Association v. Blair, will the Supreme Court rule that Tennessee's residency requirements for issuing liquor licenses are unconstitutional?

In February 2018, the Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit affirmed a district court's ruling that Tennessee's minimum residency requirements for retail or wholesale liquor license applicants violated the dormant Commerce Clause of the Constitution by discriminating against out-of-state individuals and entities (SCOTUSBlog). A Tennessee association of retailers appealed to the Supreme Court, arguing that the state's requirements are permissible under the Twenty-first Amendment, which repealed Prohibition (Oyez). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2018 term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no.

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Name Probability
Yes 52%

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