How many total "Southwest Family Unit Subject and Unaccompanied Alien Children Apprehensions" will U.S. Customs and Border Protection report for the El Centro and San Diego sectors in January 2019?

Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC

Outcome will be determined by data reported in the table "Southwest Family Unit Subject and Unaccompanied Alien Children Apprehensions Fiscal Year 2019 - By Month" located here, by adding up the numbers in the "Total Apprehensions" column for El Centro and San Diego on the tab that should be called "FY19 January." For example, the figure for FY19 November was 7,764 total apprehensions. This question will be suspended on 31 January 2019 and will close when data for January are released. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The total apprehensions for the El Centro (2,461) and San Diego (4,122) sectors in FY19 January was 6,583. This question closed with "Between 6,000 and 6,999, inclusive."

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 6,000 7%
Between 6,000 and 6,999, inclusive 45%
Between 7,000 and 7,999, inclusive 41%
Between 8,000 and 8,999, inclusive 7%
9,000 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 68
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 116
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.223011
2.
-0.214688
3.
-0.193316
4.
-0.187218
5.
-0.174261

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username