Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

The Mack Institute asks

What will annual sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) be in China in 2019?

The Chinese government is promoting the use of vehicles that are partially or fully powered by alternative fuels and has set a target of reaching 2 million annual unit sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) by 2020; for more information on NEVs please see: Reuters, Quartz, Bloomberg, China Daily. The question will be suspended on 31 December 2019 and will be closed when 2019 data from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) are reported (e.g., CAAM, CAAM, Global Times, S&P Global, China Daily).

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Name Probability
Less than 1.25 million 8%
Between 1.25 million and 1.50 million, inclusive 46%
More than 1.50 million but less than 1.75 million 26%
Between 1.75 million and 2.0 million, inclusive 15%
More than 2.00 million 5%

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