The Economist asks

Who will the European Council appoint as the next European Central Bank (ECB) president?

Started Jan 25, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Current ECB President Mario Draghi's term ends this fall (The Economist, Bloomberg, The Financial Times). The ECB president is appointed by the European Council, acting by a qualified majority (The European Central Bank, The European Council).

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The question closed "No appointment will be made before 1 October 2019" with a closing date of 1 October 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Someone from Finland 0%
Someone from France 2%
Someone from Germany 0%
Someone from Ireland 0%
Someone else 0%
No appointment will be made before 1 October 2019 98%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 306
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 685
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.842
3.
-0.82
4.
-0.815
5.
-0.788

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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