Who will win the 2019 Academy Award for Actor in a Leading Role?

Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 24, 2019 06:00PM UTC
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The 91st Academy Awards are scheduled to take place Sunday 24 February 2019 (Oscars 2019). In the event of a tie, the question will close based on the film with the higher box office gross per Box Office Mojo.

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Rami Malek won for Best Actor on 24 February 2019. https://oscar.go.com/winners 

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Christian Bale (Vice) 13%
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) 0%
Willem Dafoe (At Eternity's Gate) 0%
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody) 87%
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book) 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 35
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 49
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.628
3.
-0.328
4.
-0.203
5.
-0.185

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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