Nesta asks
If the UK participates in European Parliament elections, what percentage of votes will the Change UK Party win?
Started
May 03, 2019 04:00PM UTC
Closed May 23, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed May 23, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
The UK's participation in the 2019 European Parliament election is required under the latest extension to the Brexit process (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-47826886, https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-47946256, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-extension-text/text-eu-agreement-to-extend-brexit-idUSKCN1RN01E).
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The question closed "Less than 5.00%" with a closing date of 26 May 2019 (Results).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 5.00% | 67% | |
| Between 5.00% and 10.00%, inclusive | 33% | |
| Between 10.00% and 15.00% | 0% | |
| Between 15.00% and 20.00%, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 20.00% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 116 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 177 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
