The Economist asks

Before 5 August 2019, will the president submit to Congress a bill for implementation of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA)?

Started Jul 05, 2019 08:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 04, 2019 06:59PM UTC

In November 2018, U.S. President Donald Trump, Mexican President Enrique Pe–a Nieto, and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau signed the USMCA, a trade deal intended to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) (Economist, NPR, USTR). In order to be ratified under a process known as Trade Promotion Authority, the president submitting a bill for implementation starts the clock on a timeline in which Congress must vote on the USMCA (WSJ, FAS, Politico, Senate.gov).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 5 August 2019.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 163
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 232
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.011473
2.
-0.006013
3.
-0.004607
4.
-0.004607
5.
-0.004607

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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