Started Jul 19, 2019 05:15PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Before 1 November 2019, will Judy Shelton and/or Christopher Waller be confirmed by the Senate for the Federal Reserve Board?

After two earlier prospective Fed picks dropped out of contention, President Trump announced his intention to nominate economists Judy Shelton and Christopher Waller to fill vacancies on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (BBC, The Hill, Roll Call).

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Name Probability
Yes, only Judy Shelton 3%
Yes, only Christopher Waller 28%
Yes, the Senate will confirm both 37%
No, the Senate will confirm neither 32%

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