Between 9 August 2019 and 8 September 2019, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities?
Started
Aug 09, 2019 11:10PM UTC
Closed Sep 09, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Sep 09, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Russia has seen growing protests over the disqualification of several opposition candidates from local Moscow elections scheduled for 8 September (Time, Washington Post). Despite thousands of detentions and arrests since late July, protest organizers continue to rally for support (RFERL, Moscow Times, Carnegie Moscow Center). Fatalities must all occur during the question's duration to qualify.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 9 September 2019.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 1.00% | |
No | 99.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 195 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
Number of Forecasts | 304 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |