Who will be elected governor of Kentucky in the 2019 gubernatorial election?
Started
Aug 30, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
The Kentucky gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on 5 November 2019. Democratic nominee Andy Beshear is running against incumbent Republican nominee Matt Bevin (RealClearPolitics).
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The question closed "Andy Beshear (Democrat) by a margin of 5.00% or less of the total vote" with a closing date of 5 November 2019 (Politico).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Beshear (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5.00% of the total vote | 3% | |
| Andy Beshear (Democrat) by a margin of 5.00% or less of the total vote | 46% | |
| Matt Bevin (Republican) by a margin of 5.00% or less of the total vote | 49% | |
| Matt Bevin (Republican) by a margin greater than 5.00% of the total vote | 2% | |
| None of the above | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 56 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 135 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
