What will be Peloton Interactive, Inc.'s (Peloton) end-of-day market capitalization on the day of its initial public offering (IPO)?

Started Sep 06, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 26, 2019 08:00PM UTC
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Peloton Interactive Inc., a home exercise firm, publicly filed for an IPO in August 2019 (Peloton, SEC, Fortune, CNBC, IG). The outcome of this question will be determined by the end-of-day Market Capitalization figure reported by Bloomberg.

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The question closed "More than $6.5 billion but less than $9.0 billion" with a closing date of 26 September 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $4.0 billion 0%
Between $4.0 billion and $6.5 billion, inclusive 32%
More than $6.5 billion but less than $9.0 billion 68%
$9.0 billion or more 0%
Peloton will not have an IPO before 30 November 2019 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 34
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 82
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.618
2.
-0.505
4.
-0.471
5.
-0.466

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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