Which party will win control of the Virginia Senate in the 2019 elections?

Started Sep 06, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2019 07:59AM UTC

The Virginia Senate is the upper house of the state's legislature (Virginia Senate). All 40 Senate seats are up in this election, scheduled for 5 November 2019 (Virginia Mercury). If control of the chamber is dependent upon a run-off or a recount, the question will remain suspended as scheduled and resolve when the outcome is known.

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The question closed "Democrats" with a closing date of 5 November 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Democrats 91%
Republicans 9%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 78
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 139
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.188
2.
-0.183
3.
-0.169
5.
-0.149

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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