Started Oct 18, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 19, 2019 01:00AM UTC

  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2020, will the U.S. House of Representatives pass an article of impeachment against President Trump?

In September 2019, Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced the opening of an impeachment inquiry into President Trump (CNN, BBC, NPR).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 18 December 2019 (CNN).

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Correct Answer

Yes

Final Crowd Forecast

100%

Chance

No. of
Forecasters

208

Forecast
Count

850

Crowd Brier Score

0.8935


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-1.019
2.
-1.0
3.
-0.988
4.
-0.948
5.
-0.939