Between 25 October 2019 and 20 November 2019, how many candidates for the Democratic nomination for president of the United States will cease to be candidates?
Closed Nov 20, 2019 07:59AM UTC
As of 25 October 2019, the 18 Democratic candidates relevant to this question are: Michael Bennet, Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Steve Bullock, Pete Buttigieg, Julián Castro, John Delaney, Tulsi Gabbard, Kamala Harris, Amy Klobuchar, Wayne Messam, Beto O’Rourke, Bernie Sanders, Joe Sestak, Tom Steyer, Elizabeth Warren, Marianne Williamson, and Andrew Yang (NY Times). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that a candidate no longer seeks the Democratic Party nomination for president or that a candidate is suspending his or her campaign.
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The question closed "One or two" with a closing date of 21 November 2019.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| None | 0% | |
| One or two | 100% | |
| Three or four | 0% | |
| Five or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 51 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 177 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
