New York Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the end-of-day closing stock price of Johnson & Johnson on 31 December 2019?
Started
Oct 25, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Johnson & Johnson's stock price has come under pressure recently as legal troubles gain prominence, and New York Superforecasting workshop participants observed that several challenges remain to be faced in the near term (Bloomberg, Johnson & Johnson, Stanford Law School, Bloomberg). Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
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The question closed "More than $140.00" with a closing date of 31 December 2019.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| $100.00 or less | 0% | |
| More than $100.00 but less than $110.00 | 0% | |
| Between $110.00 and $120.00, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than $120.00 but less than $130.00 | 0% | |
| Between $130.00 and $140.00, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than $140.00 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 76 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 413 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
