Started Oct 30, 2019 04:30PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC

Nesta asks

Will a political party gain an overall majority of seats in the House of Commons at the next UK General Election?

The next UK General Election is planned for 12 December 2019 (BBC, BBC, BBC, Financial Times).

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The question closed "Yes, the Conservative Party" with a closing date of 12 December 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, the Conservative Party 68%
Yes, the Labour Party 0%
Yes, a political party not listed above 0%
No political party will gain an overall majority 32%

No. of
Forecasters

362

Forecast
Count

791


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.434
2.
-0.427
3.
-0.424
4.
-0.416
5.
-0.386