Will a political party gain an overall majority of seats in the House of Commons at the next UK General Election?

Started Oct 30, 2019 04:30PM UTC • Closed Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC

The next UK General Election is planned for 12 December 2019 (BBC, BBC, BBC, Financial Times).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help..

The question closed "Yes, the Conservative Party" with a closing date of 12 December 2019.

Possible Answer	Correct?	Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, the Conservative Party		68%
Yes, the Labour Party		0%
Yes, a political party not listed above		0%
No political party will gain an overall majority		32%

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters	362
Average for questions older than 6 months: 257
Number of Forecasts	791
Average for questions older than 6 months: 686

Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters	average

-0.434

-0.427

-0.424

-0.416

-0.386