Started Oct 30, 2019 04:30PM UTC   •   Closing Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC

Nesta asks

Will a political party gain an overall majority of seats in the House of Commons at the next UK General Election?

The next UK General Election is planned for 12 December 2019 (BBC, BBC, BBC, Financial Times).

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Name Probability
Yes, the Conservative Party 59%
Yes, the Labour Party 3%
Yes, a political party not listed above 1%
No political party will gain an overall majority 37%

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