Nesta asks
Will a political party gain an overall majority of seats in the House of Commons at the next UK General Election?
Started
Oct 30, 2019 04:30PM UTC
Closed Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Closed Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC
The next UK General Election is planned for 12 December 2019 (BBC, BBC, BBC, Financial Times).
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The question closed "Yes, the Conservative Party" with a closing date of 12 December 2019.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, the Conservative Party | 68% | |
| Yes, the Labour Party | 0% | |
| Yes, a political party not listed above | 0% | |
| No political party will gain an overall majority | 32% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 362 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 235 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 791 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 651 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
