Will a political party gain an overall majority of seats in the House of Commons at the next UK General Election?

Started Oct 30, 2019 04:30PM UTC • Closing Dec 12, 2019 07:59AM UTC

Tags

Non-US Politics Elections and Referenda

Challenges

The next UK General Election is planned for 12 December 2019 (BBC, BBC, BBC, Financial Times).

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Name	Probability
Yes, the Conservative Party	59%
Yes, the Labour Party	3%
Yes, a political party not listed above	1%
No political party will gain an overall majority	37%