Started Nov 01, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 18, 2020 02:00PM UTC

In Department of Homeland Security (DHS) v. Regents of the University of California, will the Supreme Court rule that the DHS's decision to wind down the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals policy (DACA) is lawful?

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In 2017, the Trump administration began to phase out DACA, which postponed deportation proceedings for individuals illegally in the U.S. who were brought to the U.S. as children (Oyez). Various parties sued DHS, claiming among other things that the means DHS used to wind down the program were unlawful (SCOTUSblog, Casetext). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2019 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 18 June 2020.

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Correct Answer

No

Final Crowd Forecast

66%

Chance

No. of
Forecasters

120

Forecast
Count

243

Crowd Brier Score

1.1875


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.995
2.
-0.995
3.
-0.995
4.
-0.992