Foxes Ask:

How many gigawatts direct current (GWdc) of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity will be installed in the U.S. during the fourth quarter of 2019?

Started Nov 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Despite impressive growth, the solar energy market faces some uncertainty in the near future (Solar Power World, Financial Times). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2019 and closed when the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) releases its "2019 Year in Review" report, typically around the middle of March (SEIA). The archive of past reports can be found by clicking the "+" next to "Solar Market Insight Report Archives". In the second quarter of 2019, the SEIA reported that 2.1 GWdc of solar PV had been installed (SEIA).

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The question closed "More than 3.0 GWdc" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
2.0 GWdc or less 0%
More than 2.0 GWdc but less than 2.6 GWdc 0%
Between 2.6 GWdc and 3.0 GWdc, inclusive 0%
More than 3.0 GWdc 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 41
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 100
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.033073
2.
-0.012811
3.
-0.009837
4.
-0.009395
5.
-0.005359

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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