The Economist asks:

Which horse will win the Saudi Cup?

Started Nov 29, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 29, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Saudi Arabia is scheduled to host a new horse race on 29 February 2020, the Saudi Cup, which is billed as the richest horse race ever (CNN, US Racing, Saudi Cup).

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The question closed "Maximum Security" with a closing date of 29 February 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Game Winner 1%
Gronkowski 7%
Maximum Security 30%
McKinzie 18%
Midnight Bisou 18%
Tacitus 9%
Thunder Snow 1%
None of the above 16%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 89
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 175
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.713
3.
-0.405
4.
-0.391
5.
-0.326

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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