The Economist asks:
Will the 2020 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference (NPT RevCon) produce a consensus statement?
Started
Dec 06, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
There have been nine NPT RevCons in the treaty's existence (Economist). The widely used metric of a successful conference is for all parties to reach consensus on a RevCon final document. Four RevCons have failed to reach consensus, but never before at consecutive conferences (European Leadership Network). The NPT RevCon is scheduled to take place in New York from 27 April to 22 May 2020 (State.gov).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 June 2020.
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Question clarification
Issued on 03/09/20 05:42pm
If there is no 2020 NPT RevCon before the question's suspension date, it will resolve "no."
If there is no 2020 NPT RevCon before the question's suspension date, it will resolve "no."
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 246 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 589 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
