Question 13 of 14 in Global Judgment Challenge
Started Dec 20, 2019 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 13, 2020 06:59AM UTC

  Fareed Zakaria GPS and The Economist ask:

Before 13 July 2020, will the United States and Afghan Taliban sign a peace agreement?

The U.S. and Taliban were seemingly close to a peace agreement in September 2019, but talks abruptly ended after a Taliban attack (Economist). Talks restarted in December 2019 (NBC News, Al Jazeera).

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Name Probability
Yes 25%

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