Started Dec 27, 2019 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks:

For the month of June 2020, what will be the annual rate of inflation for the eurozone?

Christine Lagarde became President of the European Central Bank (ECB) in November 2019 at a time the eurozone faces various challenges, including how to balance a world of negative interest rates with an inflation target "below, but close to, 2% over the medium term" (Economist, ECB). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2020 and closed upon the release of the relevant June (2020M06) Eurostat data for "Euro area (19 countries)" (Eurostat). Estimates would not count.

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Name Probability
0.0% or less 2%
Between 0.1% and 1.0%, inclusive 26%
Between 1.0% and 2.0% 68%
2.0% or more 4%

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