Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will President Trump and North Korea's Kim Jong Un meet before 1 January 2021?

Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Negotiations between the United States and North Korea during 2019 were inconclusive, and there are efforts to restart them in 2020 (CNNAxios, Business Insider). For purposes of this question, the meeting must be in-person.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1550
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 2366
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.047
2.
-0.046
3.
-0.046
4.
-0.046
5.
-0.046

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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