Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will a date be set for a referendum on Scotland's status within the United Kingdom?

A change in Scotland's relationship with the United Kingdom is being discussed as a possible consequence of the Brexit process (BBC, Guardian). The referendum date is immaterial to the question. Whether the UK government sets or agrees to the referendum date or implements the result is immaterial to the question.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

1619

Forecast
Count

2499

Crowd Brier Score

0.0129


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.111
2.
-0.111
3.
-0.111
4.
-0.111
5.
-0.111

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