Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Who will win the 2020 United States presidential election?

The 2020 United States presidential election is scheduled for Tuesday 3 November 2020 (CNN, Ballotpedia, BBC).

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The question closed "The Democratic Party nominee" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party nominee 75%
The Republican Party nominee 25%
Another candidate 0%

No. of
Forecasters

2929

Forecast
Count

6569

Crowd Brier Score

0.3756


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.361
2.
-0.358
3.
-0.358
4.
-0.358