Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Who will win the 2020 United States presidential election?

Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

The 2020 United States presidential election is scheduled for Tuesday 3 November 2020 (CNN, Ballotpedia, BBC).

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The question closed "The Democratic Party nominee" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party nominee 80%
The Republican Party nominee 20%
Another candidate 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 2929
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 6569
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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