Before 1 January 2021, will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and/or People’s Armed Police (PAP) be mobilized in Hong Kong?
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Protests in Hong Kong that began in June 2019 have evolved into broader anti-government protests (Reuters). Reports indicate that China's central government could mobilize PLA and/or PAP troops in Hong Kong (Reuters, Public Radio International, Foreign Policy). For the purposes of this question, "mobilized" means actively engaged in military or law enforcement actions against protesters within the territory of Hong Kong.
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NOTE: "against protesters" was added to the More Info the morning after launch.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 224 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 814 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 544 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |