&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

Will a new Supreme Court Justice be appointed before 20 January 2017?

Started Mar 01, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 20, 2017 07:59AM UTC

This question was closed on "No" with a suspend date of 20 January 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
The death of Supreme Court Justice Scalia presents an interesting challenge for the administration in an election year (Washington Post, NY Times, SCOTUSblog). Recommended Question Who will win the 2016 US presidential election?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1057
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 3604
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.243414
2.
-0.243414
3.
-0.243414
4.
-0.243414
5.
-0.24303

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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