Started Jan 21, 2016 03:51PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 08, 2016 07:59AM UTC

&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

Who will win the 2016 US presidential election?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
A Democrat 76%
A Republican 24%
Other 0%

No. of
Forecasters

4493

Forecast
Count

10433

Crowd Brier Score

0.9266


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.866
3.
-0.865
4.
-0.863
5.
-0.857