Started Feb 24, 2016 10:25PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC (3 years ago)

&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

(Conditional) If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination, which party will win the U.S. presidential election?

This question was closed with the correct answer 'Republican' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, won the 2016 presidential election on November 8. (NY Times)

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For more information on the presidential election, see Washington Post. This is a conditional question: Assume that Trump is the Republican nominee and make your forecasts on the outcome of the overall election. If Trump ultimately fails to win the nomination, this question will be voided.

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1.
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2.
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3.
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4.
-1.168
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-1.166