Who will win the 2020 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Started Jan 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 29, 2020 07:59AM UTC

The South Carolina primary is scheduled for 29 February 2020 (270 To Win). The outcome will be determined based on who wins the most pledged delegates. In the event of a tie, the candidate with the most votes will be considered the winner.

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The question closed "Joe Biden" with a closing date of 29 February 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Joe Biden 90%
Bernie Sanders 10%
Tom Steyer 0%
Elizabeth Warren 0%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 220
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 637
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.368
3.
-0.357
4.
-0.357
5.
-0.334

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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