Who will win the 2020 Arizona Democratic primary?
Started
Feb 21, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 17, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Mar 17, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
The Arizona primary is scheduled for 17 March 2020 (270 To Win). The outcome will be determined based on who wins the most pledged delegates. In the event of a tie, the candidate with the most votes will be considered the winner.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
The question closed "Joe Biden" with a closing date of 17 March 2020.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 99% | |
| Michael Bloomberg | 0% | |
| Pete Buttigieg | 0% | |
| Amy Klobuchar | 0% | |
| Bernie Sanders | 1% | |
| Elizabeth Warren | 0% | |
| Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 162 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 438 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
