Started Feb 21, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 18, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Who will be the 2020 Democratic nominee for U.S. president?

The 2020 Democratic National Convention is scheduled for 13-16 July 2020 (Ballotpedia, 270 To Win).

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NOTE 24 April 2020: Due to the postponement of the Democratic National Convention, the closing date has been revised.


The question closed "Joe Biden" with a closing date of 18 August 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Joe Biden 100%
Michael Bloomberg 0%
Pete Buttigieg 0%
Amy Klobuchar 0%
Bernie Sanders 0%
Elizabeth Warren 0%
Someone Else 0%

No. of
Forecasters

1219

Forecast
Count

2810

Crowd Brier Score

0.0748


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.075
2.
-0.072
3.
-0.069
5.
-0.06

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