Will the Democratic Party nominate their presidential candidate on the first ballot of the presidential roll call at the 2020 Democratic National Convention?
Closed Aug 18, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Talk of a “brokered” Democratic convention, where multiple ballots at the convention are necessary to select the presidential nominee, has been rising after rule changes and close results in Iowa and New Hampshire (CNN, Five Thirty Eight). The 2020 Democratic National Convention is scheduled to be held 13-16 July 2020 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (Demconvention.com, Democrats.org).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 18 August 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 100.00% | |
No | 0.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 475 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1031 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |