Question 31 of 34 in US Election 2020
Started Feb 21, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Aug 18, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Will the Democratic Party nominate their presidential candidate on the first ballot of the presidential roll call at the 2020 Democratic National Convention?

Talk of a “brokered” Democratic convention, where multiple ballots at the convention are necessary to select the presidential nominee, has been rising after rule changes and close results in Iowa and New Hampshire (CNN, Five Thirty Eight). The 2020 Democratic National Convention is scheduled to be held 13-16 July 2020 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (Demconvention.comDemocrats.org). 

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Name Probability
Yes 100%

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