Foxes Ask:
Before 24 July 2020, will it be officially announced that the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics and/or Paralympics will be postponed, canceled, and/or relocated?
Started
Feb 28, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 24, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 24, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Challenges
The 2020 Summer Olympic Games in Tokyo, Japan, are scheduled for 24 July - 9 August 2020, with the Paralympic Games to follow 25 August - 6 September 2020 (Olympic.org, Paralympic.org). There is speculation the outbreak of COVID-19 could lead to postponing, canceling, or relocating the games (Time, BBC, Guardian, Newsweek).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
The question closed "Yes, both" with a closing date of 24 March 2020 (BBC).
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, the Olympic Games only | 0% | |
Yes, the Paralympic Games only | 0% | |
Yes, both | 100% | |
No | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 503 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1139 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |