When will the yield curve for 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasurys next invert?
Closed Aug 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
When interest rates on longer-term debt drop below rates on shorter-term debt, the yield curve is said to invert, which has often historically been a signal of an approaching recession (Investopedia, CNBC, Market Watch). The outcome will be determined using Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rate data provided by the U.S. Department of the Treasury by comparing the value in the "2 Yr" column with the value in the "10 Yr" column for each day (Treasury.gov).
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The question closed "Not before 1 August 2020" with a closing date of 1 August 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Before 15 March 2020 | 0% | |
Between 15 March 2020 and 30 April 2020 | 0% | |
Between 1 May 2020 and 15 June 2020 | 0% | |
Between 16 June 2020 and 31 July 2020 | 0% | |
Not before 1 August 2020 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 96 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 299 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |