Which party will win control of the U.S. Congress in the 2020 elections?

Started Mar 06, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

In addition to the presidential election, control of Congress is also being watched closely (Roll Call). If control of a chamber is dependent upon a run-off or a recount, the question will remain suspended as scheduled and resolve when the outcome is known.

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The question closed "Democrats will control the House and Senate" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Democrats will control the House and Senate 40%
Democrats will control the House, Republicans the Senate 60%
Republicans will control the House, Democrats the Senate 0%
Republicans will control the House and Senate 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1387
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209
Number of Forecasts 3791
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.728
2.
-0.699
3.
-0.681
4.
-0.674

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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