Started Mar 06, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing May 12, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks:

How many paying subscribers will "Disney+" have according to Disney in the second quarter of its Fiscal Year 2020?

Disney+, the media giant's streaming service, launched in November 2019 (CNET). Disney reported 26.5 million subscribers for the first quarter of its Fiscal Year 2020 (October-December 2019) and has further plans to launch in Europe in late March 2020 (Walt Disney Company, CNBC). Disney's earnings for the second quarter of its Fiscal Year 2020 (January-March 2020) are scheduled to be released on 12 May 2020 (Business Insider).

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Name Probability
Less than 35.0 million 7%
Between 35.0 million and 45.0 million, inclusive 40%
More than 45.0 million but less than 55.0 million 35%
55.0 million or more 12%
Disney will not report paying subscriber figures for Disney+ 6%

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