Started Mar 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 13, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks:

What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 13 August 2020, according to Bloomberg?

Amid the COVID-19 outbreak spreading around the world and fears of a price war between Russia and OPEC members, oil prices saw their largest single day percentage drop since 1991 (CNBC). The outcome will be determined using the closing price per barrel as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

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The question closed "More than $35.00 but less than $45.00" with a closing date of 13 August 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $25.00 0%
Between $25.00 and $35.00, inclusive 0%
More than $35.00 but less than $45.00 95%
Between $45.00 and $55.00, inclusive 5%
More than $55.00 0%

No. of
Forecasters

551

Forecast
Count

2231

Crowd Brier Score

0.2029


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.224
2.
-0.21
3.
-0.21
4.
-0.209
5.
-0.203