The Economist asks:
What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 13 August 2020, according to Bloomberg?
Started
Mar 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 13, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Aug 13, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Amid the COVID-19 outbreak spreading around the world and fears of a price war between Russia and OPEC members, oil prices saw their largest single day percentage drop since 1991 (CNBC). The outcome will be determined using the closing price per barrel as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
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The question closed "More than $35.00 but less than $45.00" with a closing date of 13 August 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than $25.00 | 0% | |
Between $25.00 and $35.00, inclusive | 0% | |
More than $35.00 but less than $45.00 | 97% | |
Between $45.00 and $55.00, inclusive | 3% | |
More than $55.00 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 551 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209 | |
Number of Forecasts | 2231 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |