When will the first Major League Baseball game of the 2020 season be played?

Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 16, 2020 06:59AM UTC

On 12 March 2020, Major League Baseball (MLB) announced that it was suspending "Spring Training games and to delay the start of the 2020 regular season by at least two weeks due to the national emergency created by the coronavirus pandemic" (MLB, Sports Illustrated). Whether the first MLB game is played before spectators is immaterial.

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The question closed "Not before 16 July 2020" with a closing date of 16 July 2020.

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NOTE 16 June 2020: Only a regular season game would close this question.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 16 April 2020 0%
Between 16 April 2020 and 15 May 2020 0%
Between 16 May 2020 and 15 June 2020 0%
Between 16 June 2020 and 15 July 2020 0%
Not before 16 July 2020 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 389
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209
Number of Forecasts 1025
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.105
2.
-0.094
3.
-0.087
4.
-0.078
5.
-0.078

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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