Started Mar 20, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 11, 2020 02:00AM UTC

Before 9 October 2020, will the music festival Coachella, which has been rescheduled for October 2020, be postponed or canceled?

Coachella, an annual music festival that typically takes place in April, was rescheduled in 2020 due to concerns over COVID-19 (NY Times, CNN). The festival is now scheduled for 9-11 and 16-18 October. For the purposes of this question, a partial cancellation and/or partial postponement would not count.

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NOTE 14 April 2020: Any online activities branded as Coachella or otherwise are immaterial to the outcome of this forecasting question.


The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 10 June 2020.

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Final Crowd Forecast

100%

Chance

No. of
Forecasters

307

Forecast
Count

640


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.109
2.
-0.094
3.
-0.094
4.
-0.094
5.
-0.094